Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.004936 0.005599 0.006358 0.007297 0.008441 0.009806 0.011581
2025-12-07 0.003918 0.004715 0.005708 0.007063 0.008911 0.011419 0.015223
2025-12-14 0.003378 0.004225 0.005341 0.006971 0.009387 0.013011 0.019262
2025-12-21 0.003103 0.004008 0.005259 0.007199 0.010301 0.015428 0.025525
2025-12-28 0.002926 0.003886 0.005273 0.007543 0.011444 0.018543 0.034664
2026-01-04 0.002723 0.003697 0.005151 0.007638 0.012176 0.021160 0.044473
2026-01-11 0.002521 0.003481 0.004956 0.007569 0.012583 0.023268 0.054671
2026-01-18 0.002368 0.003323 0.004827 0.007587 0.013152 0.025942 0.069031
2026-01-25 0.002200 0.003126 0.004611 0.007410 0.013279 0.027622 0.082037
2026-02-01 0.002027 0.002904 0.004332 0.007074 0.012993 0.028145 0.091342
2026-02-08 0.001872 0.002701 0.004067 0.006732 0.012627 0.028336 0.099752
2026-02-15 0.001800 0.002629 0.004020 0.006809 0.013243 0.031664 0.130211
2026-02-22 0.001695 0.002501 0.003876 0.006700 0.013465 0.034160 0.164575
2026-03-01 0.001585 0.002358 0.003694 0.006493 0.013410 0.035801 0.199985
2026-03-08 0.001503 0.002257 0.003579 0.006411 0.013668 0.038793 0.263147
2026-03-15 0.001465 0.002227 0.003594 0.006614 0.014770 0.046050 0.439184
2026-03-22 0.001441 0.002220 0.003650 0.006919 0.016285 0.056831 0.895874
2026-03-29 0.001394 0.002169 0.003615 0.007003 0.017153 0.065554 1.728316
2026-04-05 0.001336 0.002094 0.003525 0.006942 0.017530 0.072050 3.199904
2026-04-12 0.001290 0.002038 0.003469 0.006958 0.018191 0.081522 8.318008
2026-04-19 0.001232 0.001956 0.003352 0.006801 0.018182 0.086341 19.371830
2026-04-26 0.001165 0.001854 0.003187 0.006503 0.017570 0.085808 31.787361
2026-05-03 0.001102 0.001756 0.003026 0.006198 0.016874 0.084105 48.489434